New Delhi. Due to the formation of a low pressure area over the southeast Arabian Sea and its intensification during the next two days, the cyclonic circulation is likely to seriously affect the arrival of Monsoon towards the Kerala coast. The India Meteorological Department (IMD) gave this information on Monday. However, the Meteorological Department did not give a possible date for the arrival of monsoon in Kerala. IMD said, ‘Westerly winds are blowing up to 2.1 km above the mean sea level over the South Arabian Sea.
However, due to a cyclonic circulation over the southeast Arabian Sea, cloudy conditions have developed and are concentrated over the same region and there has been some reduction in cloudiness near Kerala coast during the last 24 hours. “Apart from this, under the influence of this cyclonic circulation, a low pressure area is likely to form over the same region during the next 24 hours,” the IMD said. It is very likely to move northwards and strengthen as a depression over southeast and adjoining eastcentral Arabian Sea during the next 48 hours.
Monsoon reached Kerala on May 29 last year
IMD said that the formation and strengthening of this system and its northward movement is likely to affect the advance of Southwest Monsoon towards Kerala coast. The southwest monsoon generally enters Kerala on June 1 with a standard deviation of about seven days. In mid-May, the IMD had said that the monsoon could hit Kerala by June 4. The southeast monsoon arrived last year on May 29, 2021, June 3, 2020, June 8, 2019 and May 29 in 2018.
Monsoon season expected to see normal rains in India
The IMD had earlier said that despite the development of El Nino conditions, India is expected to receive normal rainfall during the southwest monsoon season. Less than normal rainfall is expected in North-West India. East and Northeast, Central and South Peninsula are expected to receive 94-106 per cent rainfall of the Long Period Average (LPA) of 87 cm. Normal rainfall is important for the agricultural scenario of India. 52 percent of the cultivated area is dependent on monsoon rains. It is also important for the storage of important reservoirs for drinking water apart from power generation across the country.
Tags: IMD forecast, India Meteorological Department, Monsoon, Pre Monsoon Rain
FIRST PUBLISHED : June 05, 2023, 17:56 IST