The opinion poll of India TV-CNX has claimed a big victory for BJP.
New Delhi: According to the India TV-CNX Opinion Poll, if elections are held now, the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) led by Prime Minister Narendra Modi can win 78 out of the total 80 Lok Sabha seats in Uttar Pradesh. This opinion poll was aired on the news channel today. The survey said that the opposition INDIA alliance could win the remaining two seats.
NDA had won 64 seats in the last elections
In the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, the NDA had won 64 Lok Sabha seats, Samajwadi Party (5) and Congress (1) had won six seats each, while Mayawati’s Bahujan Samaj Party had won 10 seats. According to the opinion poll, BJP-led NDA may get a major vote share of 53.16 percent, while INDIA may get 32.57 percent votes. BSP is likely to get 10.43 percent votes, and ‘others’ including independents are likely to get 3.84 percent votes.
Currently, the NDA includes BJP, RLD, Apna Dal (Sonelal), Nishad Party and SBSP, while the INDIA alliance includes only Samajwadi Party and Congress.
Region wise seat estimates
NDA can make a clean sweep by winning all the seats in Western UP (8), Rohilkhand (12), Bundelkhand (4), and Awadh (14). But in Doab (13), NDA can win 12 seats and INDIA can win one seat, whereas in Purvanchal (29), NDA can win 28 seats and INDIA can win one seat.
What will be the condition of VIP seats?
The India TV-CNX survey also predicts 20 VIP seats. According to the survey, Prime Minister Modi is likely to win in Varanasi by a “huge margin”, while the remaining NDA candidates may also win by “huge margins” in Muzaffarnagar, Baghpat, Ghaziabad, Lucknow, Allahabad and Faizabad.
In Mainpuri, the INDIA candidate may win by a huge margin, while in Azamgarh, the INDIA candidate may prove to be worse than his NDA rival. The survey estimates that NDA candidates will be “slightly ahead” in Amethi, Gautam Buddha Nagar, Pilibhit, Sultanpur, Kannauj and Mirzapur. NDA candidates may face a “tough contest” in Rae Bareli, Rampur, Firozabad, Badaun and Ghazipur. Opinion poll was conducted on all 80 Lok Sabha seats of UP between February 5 and 23.
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